Reinventing Collapse
This article is excerpted from the book Reinventing Collapse, recently released by New Society Publishers and reprinted with their permission.
Superpower Similarities
Official propaganda has always tried to portray superpower conflict as an obvious and inevitable consequence of the irreconcilable differences between the two sides. One's own side was represented as the manifestation of all that is good and just in the world and the other as all that is evil and repressive. There was usually a catchy label to go with the description that tested well with the target audience, such as the "Imperialist Aggressor" or the "Evil Empire." When you switched sides, the orientation of the propaganda you had just heard flipped automatically: it was like stepping through a mirror.
But what is interesting for our purposes is to identify and describe the key elements that made these superpower contestants so evenly matched that their sparring went on for decades. None of these key elements can be sustained forever. The hypothesis I wish to test is that the lack of these same key elements, readily identifiable in the Soviet collapse, likewise spells the demise of America, definitely as a superpower, probably as a major part of the world economy, and possibly as a recognizable entity on the political map.
The Myth of Inclusiveness
Like that of our metaphorical heavyweight champion, a super-power's diet must contain plenty of red meat, in this case, human flesh. A superpower must continually ingest plenty of highly skilled and motivated personnel managers, scientists, engineers, and military officers, who must be willing to endure hardship, give up their best years, ruin their health, perhaps even give their lives, slaving away designing and building things, fighting and doing all the dirty work. Motivating the needed quantities of people with money is out of the question, because that would not leave enough for the ruling elites to siphon off. The upper classes tend to already be highly motivated by both money and status, but they also tend to be allergic to dirty work, and they can never be numerous enough to satisfy a superpower's appetite for flesh. The only thing that can possibly provide the necessary motivating force is an idea: a communal myth powerful enough to cause people to commit their insignificant yet essential selves to the righteousness and glory of the great whole. A superpower's vitality is critically dependent on the sustaining power of this myth. Shortly after it fails, so does the superpower.
Both the Soviet and the American models featured an inclusiveness myth as their centerpiece. In the Soviet case, it was the myth of the classless society. The great revolutionary upheaval was said to have erased class and ethnic distinctions, creating an egalitarian society that provided for everybody's basic needs, curbed excesses of wealth and allowed people from humble origins to become educated and rise to positions of respect and authority. This myth proved to be so powerful that it propelled a poor, industrializing but still mainly agrarian nation on a trajectory to becoming a leading military and industrial power.
As the decades wore on, the myth gradually lost most of its luster. The satisfaction of basic needs gave rise to an insatiable appetite for imported consumer goods, which were either inaccessible or in short supply, except to the elite, and this, in turn, ruined the appearance of egalitarianism. "They pretend to pay us, and we pretend to work," went the saying, and morale plummeted. This led to a situation where no new common effort could be organized. As everyone started thinking for themselves, a slow rot set in, and the superpower gradually became enfeebled.
America's belated and half-hearted answer to the classless society of the Soviets is the middle class society. After wallowing through the Great Depression and grasping at straws during the New Deal, the United States reaped a gigantic windfall following World War II, as the only large industrial player left standing. Much of the rest of the world's industrial infrastructure had been bombed to rubble, giving the United States an opening. They used it to put every American within striking distance of achieving a cheap simulacrum of landed gentry, symbolized by a detached house surrounded by a patch of land big enough to accommodate private parking, a patch of grass and some shrubbery, and adorned, as an absolute necessity, by one's own private automobile. American society is classless, at least in theory, since no one wants to admit to being either upper or lower class. There is, supposedly, one large and homogeneous middle class; in fact, though, there is a small upper portion and a large and rapidly expanding lower portion.
The wonderful thing about the American middle class concept is its malleability, because it is almost entirely symbolic. You could be middle class, own an ancestral mansion in an old brick and fieldstone suburb, drive a Mercedes and send your children to an Ivy League school. Or you could be middle class, live in a dolled-up trailer home, drive a souped-up pickup truck, and send your children to a community college that teaches them how to milk hogs.
The least common denominator is that you have to drive a motor vehicle, otherwise you can no longer perform this charade. This is why there is so much denial about it being necessary to give up the car and all the current talk about resorting to bio-fuels to continue feeding the car addiction. Biofuels amount to burning one's food and destroying what is left of the topsoil in order to continue driving. This is also why so many Americans would forgo a healthy diet, a reasonable work schedule, education for their children, needed medical treatment and even give up their house, rather than give up their car. Not having a car makes one, within the American suburban landscape, a non-person.
The universal right to drive a car is the linchpin of the American communal myth. Once a significant portion of the population finds that cars have become inaccessible to them, the effect on the national psyche may be so profound as to make the country ungovernable. Solving the underlying transportation problem, through the reintroduction of public transportation or other means, is beside the point: the image of the automobile is indelibly imprinted on the national psyche and it will not be easily dislodged. For many, their car is a public extension of their persona, a status symbol and even a symbol of sexual potency, and this makes the automobile, along with the gun, a sacred national fetish. Like the gun, the car is also a potent weapon that can be used for murder or for suicide. It is propelling the American communal myth toward a flaming crash with the reality of permanent fuel shortage, compared to which the gradual fading away of the Soviet communal myth will have been gentle and benign.
Militarism
The arms race is commonly viewed as the key element of the superpower standoff known as the Cold War (one hesitates to call it a conflict or even a confrontation because both sides diligently practiced conflict avoidance through deterrence, détente and arms control negotiations). Military deterrence and parity is seen as the paramount defining factor of the bipolar world that was dominated by the two superpowers. Military primacy between the United States and the Soviet Union was never actively contested and there was quite a lot of inconclusive militaristic preening and posturing. While the Americans feel that they won the Cold War (since the other side forfeited the contest) and are about to start awarding themselves medals for this feat, it is actually something of a success story for Russia.
Beyond the superficial and assumed offensive parity, the historical landscapes that underlie Soviet and American militarisms could not be more different. The United States considers itself a victor country: it goes to war when it wishes and it likes to win. It has not been invaded during any of the major modern conflicts and war, to it, is primarily about victory. Russia is a victim country. It has been invaded several times, but, since the Mongol invasion, never successfully. To Russians, war is not about victory, it is about death. The epithet that Russians like to apply to their country is nepobedimaya, "undefeatable."
The United States is a country that enjoys bombing other countries. The Soviets, having seen much of their country bombed to smithereens during World War II, had a particularly well-developed sense of their vulnerability. To compensate for it, they devoted a large part of their centrally planned economy to defense. They produced a staggering number of nuclear missiles, nuclear submarines, tanks, bombers, fighter jets, warships and other military junk, much of which now sits quietly rusting somewhere and perpetually threatening to wreak havoc on the environment. The nuclear stockpile continues to pose a particularly nasty problem. Much of this war production was a complete waste and even the object of some humor: "I work at a sewing machine factory, but every time I bring the parts home and assemble them, I end up with a machine gun! "
But they did not get bombed by the Americans, hence victory. The list of countries which the US has bombed since the end of World War II is a long one, from "A" for Afghanistan to "Y" for Yemen (that the list does not run "A" to "Z" is presumably explained by the fact that Zambia and Zimbabwe do not present a sufficiently target-rich environment to America's military planners). The Soviet Union did not do nearly as much bombing. Czechoslovakia and Hungary received what amounted to a slap. Afghanistan was the one significant exception, playing host to a sustained and bloody military confrontation. Perhaps one positive effect of having one's homeland extensively bombed is that it makes one think twice about inflicting that experience on others.
And so it is quite a satisfactory outcome that the United States has not been able to bomb a single country within the former Warsaw Pact and to this day has to play careful with Russia and her friends. This is because mutual assured destruction remains in effect: each side has enough nuclear weapons to obliterate the other. Since this is an affront to the American military ego, Americans have continued to preen and posture, announcing a defense doctrine that allows nuclear first strikes and actively pursuing the development of strategic missile defense.
The Russians do not appear to be impressed. "We believe this strategic anti-missile defense system is somewhat chimerical, to put it mildly," said Sergei Ivanov, Russia's first deputy prime minister. "One can find a much cheaper response to any such system." The cheapest response I can think of is simply having Mr. Ivanov periodically stand up and say a few words. Perhaps that is all the response the situation calls for, but Russia sells a lot of weapons, including a new generation of supersonic missiles and torpedoes, against which the US has no adequate defense, and successfully marketing them requires taking a stand in defense of national military prestige. And so we are bound to hear a great deal more about Americans destabilizing the security of Europe, and about Russia countering this threat with some anti-missile chimeras of their own, much cheaper ones.
The United States needs a new Cold War to show itself and the world that it still matters, and Russia, finding the venture not too risky and quite profitable, is willing to hold up a mirror to American militarism. But the whole thing is a farce, and Vladimir Putin was quick to offer an old Russian saying by way of explaining it: "Don't blame the mirror if your face is crooked."
Russia has scaled back defense spending considerably after the Soviet collapse, but the defense budget of the United States has kept growing like a tumor and is on course to match and surpass what the entire rest of the world spends on defense. While one might naively assume that the rest of the world is quivering before such overwhelming military might, nothing of the sort is occurring. There is a little secret that everyone knows: the United States military does not know how to win. It just knows how to blow things up. Blowing things up may be fun, but it cannot be the only element in a winning strategy.
The other key element is winning the peace once major combat operations are over, and here the mighty US military tends to fall squarely on its face and lay prone until political support for the war is withdrawn and the troops are brought back home. The United States could not conquer North Korea, resulting in the world's longest-running cease-fire. It is a stalemate punctuated by crises. The United States could not defeat the North Vietnamese with their underground tunnels and their primarily bicycle-based transportation system.
The first Gulf War was precipitated by a misunderstanding caused by diplomatic incompetence: Saddam Hussein was a generally cooperative and helpful tyrant and all could have been resolved amicably had not April Glaspie, the US ambassador to Iraq, told him: "We have no opinion on your Arab-Arab conflicts, such as your dispute with Kuwait." Saddam took her at her word and thought that he could punish the Kuwaitis for stealing his oil. Bush Senior then proceeded to stand poor April on her head, declaring that "this will not stand! " The ensuing skirmish ended inconclusively, with Iraq humiliated and in stasis for a generation. This was considered a victory, with endless parades and much flag-waving. The US military was said to have recovered from "Vietnam syndrome." But nothing could hide the fact that it was a job left unfinished.
The more recent Iraq war is a full-blown, complete disaster, like Vietnam, or like Afghanistan was for the Soviets, but actually a lot worse, because Iraq is situated in the region which produces most of the oil. The longer US troops stay in Iraq, the worse the situation there becomes. The longer they wait to withdraw, the worse the situation will be once they do. Iraq started out as a war of choice (a startlingly poor choice) but it is now a war of survival, certainly of America's status as a superpower, and quite possibly of its economic survival as well. Moreover, it is a war that appears to have already been lost.
The rest of America's recent military conflicts either consisted of or centered around a bombing campaign, and generally fall into one of two categories: strategic spoiling attacks, and attempts to bolster the presidential manhood. A strategic spoiling attack is a preventive action against a potential enemy who, if left unchecked, might attack you some time in the future. It is more or less a bullying tactic, and, as such, already an admission of defeat on the diplomatic front. One should prefer to live among strong friends, not weakened enemies.
Presidential manhood-bolstering bombing campaigns have come from both sides of the political spectrum (not much of a spectrum, it turns out, since both sides are shades of ultra-violent ). There was the bombing of Panama, ostensibly to punish the apostate CIA asset Manuel Noriega, but really to mitigate against Bush Senior's so-called "wimp factor." There was also Clinton's despondent bombing of an aspirin factory in the Sudan and the bouncing around of some rocks in Afghanistan, ostensibly to punish terrorists for bombing US embassies in East Africa, but really to express frustration over the inordinate difficulties faced by the leader of the free world as a result of procuring oral sex. I feel his pain, but, to paraphrase Freud, sometimes a cruise missile isn't just a cruise missile.
It may appear that the US military is not capable of prevailing over any enemy, no matter how badly armed, demoralized or minuscule. While the Koreans and the Vietnamese were formidable, the US military could not bring to heel even the starving Somalis with their pickup trucks full of narcotic cud-chewing, Kalashnikov- toting youths. Nor could they pacify the Iraqis, even after softening them up with bombs and sanctions for more than a decade. There is one notable exception. If we look at any of the military conflicts that involved the US military since World War II, there is one that stands out as a complete success: the liberation of the tiny Caribbean island of Grenada. There, valiant American troops dislodged an unsavory and frightening Marxist regime which was supported by Cuba and Nicaragua and replaced it with a democratic, pro-American regime, much to the satisfaction of Grenada's Caribbean neighbors and cruising yachtsmen alike.
The Soviets never learned their lesson in Afghanistan. The slow, relentless, senseless carnage of that war did much to tarnish the image of the Red Army, which was until then still regarded as the people's champion for defeating Hitler and for standing up to the Americans. It took the disaster of the two campaigns in Chechnya after the Soviet collapse for the message to finally sink in. Russia eventually got Chechnya under control, through political rather than military means. A military effort alone can never defeat a popular insurgency. The insurgents never have to win, they just have to continue to fight. In fighting them, the military is forced to fight the people of the country, and by perpetuating a state of war it continually thwarts its stated purpose, which is to establish peace. There is no room for victory in this scenario, but only for an ever-widening spiral of murder, hatred and shame.
The lesson that the United States desperately needs to learn is that their trillion-dollar-a-year military is nothing more than a gigantic public money sponge that provokes outrage among friends and enemies alike and puts the country in ill repute. It is useless against its enemies, because they know better than to engage it directly. It can never be used to defeat any of the major, nuclear powers, because sufficient deterrence against it can be maintained for relatively little money. It can never defuse a popular insurgency, because that takes political and diplomatic finesse, not a compulsion to bomb far-away places. Political and diplomatic finesse cannot be procured, even for a trillion dollars, even in a country that believes in extreme makeovers. As Vladimir Putin put it, "If grandmother had testicles, she'd be a grandfather."
The long sequence of American military failures in its many wars of choice may not be significant in and of itself. People throughout the world may cringe, but it is easy for Americans to consign these unhappy adventures to oblivion. They are skilled at rewriting, if not history, then at least their strangely foggy recollections of it. But at some point a key national interest becomes involved and the military adventure becomes more than just a way for the military to justify having an outsized budget. For the Soviets, this point came when they lost Afghanistan. They were in Afghanistan in accordance with the Brezhnev Doctrine, which stated unequivocally that no Socialist country would be allowed to backslide toward barbarous Capitalism. Once they let go of Afghanistan the tide turned, and the Communists had to let go of the Warsaw Pact, the Soviet Union, and finally Russia itself.
It is common knowledge that the US forces invaded Iraq for no adequately explained reason. What few people realize is that there is an American counterpart to the Brezhnev Doctrine. It is the Carter Doctrine, which states that the United States would use military force if necessary to defend its national interests in the Persian Gulf region. Carter announced it in a State of the Union speech in January of 1980, in response to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. It is in the national interest of the United States to be able to efficiently exploit the oil resources of Iraq and direct the resulting flow of oil to eager motorists back home. The military failure in Iraq (which as of this writing appears complete) is tantamount to a declaration that the Carter Doctrine is no longer in effect. The ensuing backslide will mean more than just the loss of Iraqi oil production; it may force the US out of the entire region. Coupled with other unhappy developments, such as the ongoing devaluation of the US dollar, widespread oil production shortfalls due to oil field depletion and increasing political instability in several oil-exporting countries, this may cause the US to lose access to oil in other regions as well. This will not make motorists back home happy. Moreover, it will spell the end of the American dream of global dominance and the definitive loss of superpower status.
After the Soviet Union collapsed, Russia faced a dilemma. It had stationed a great many troops abroad in Eastern Europe and particularly in East Germany. These troops were not all Russian: some were recruited from the various Soviet Republics, and their allegiance was to the Red Army ‹ an entity that no longer existed. Repatriating and resettling these troops turned out to be a logistical nightmare. There was no housing and no jobs for the returning troops. But this was nothing compared to the problem that will be faced by the United States, which has over a thousand overseas military bases. The vast majority of these serve no vital purpose and are further examples of massive military bloat. In the coming years, starved of fuel and other resources, they will become worse than useless. Liquidating them and repatriating the troops will pose a far greater challenge than that faced by the Soviets. Amid the general confusion, some of the smaller military installations are likely to be simply forgotten, with the troops left to fend for themselves and their weapons going missing.
The last aspect of the superpower arms race worth mentioning is the arms sales race. The US and the SU both supplied weapons to their client states. The US conducted their arms trade on better terms, by lending the client state money with which to buy the weapons or by forcing the client state to spend its oil export revenue on weapons systems. The Soviets more or less gave their weapons away to the brotherly peoples they held in their sway. Russia, which inherited most of the Soviet defense industry, has updated its business plan, and is now positioned to surpass the United States in weapons sales. Military defeats do not make for successful weapons marketing campaigns.
World's Jailers
The jails race once showed the Soviets with a decisive lead, thanks to their innovative Gulag program. Under Lenin, and later under Stalin, millions of people were herded into labor camps to provide slave labor for massive construction projects such as the Belomor Canal, which links the Baltic to the North Sea. Over the years, the inmate population was comprised not only of criminals, who were always plentiful, but also of aristocrats associated with the ancient régime who were not fleet enough to emigrate to a new career of driving taxicabs in Berlin, Paris or New York. The inmates also included ethnic minorities such as the Chechens (who found themselves in disfavor after they welcomed the Nazi invaders), soldiers who had surrendered to the enemy instead of dying heroically (surrender was considered a form of desertion), priests and nuns (to rid the country of unscientific "religious superstitions") and plenty of innocent bystanders, who were swept up by a well-oiled judiciary machine. The arrests often happened in the middle of the night and those arrested simply vanished from society. Their disappearance was studiously ignored and the families of the disappeared were shunned by society. Society was afraid, but since any admission of fear could be misinterpreted as an admission of guilt (of suspecting that the system itself was criminal), even the fear had to remain hidden.
After Stalin's death, a gradual liberalization took place. Many of those falsely accused and imprisoned were rehabilitated, often posthumously. Thereafter, the ranks of the political prisoners shrank steadily. The appearance of Alexander Solzhenitsyn's The Gulag Archipelago became a watershed event, lifting the veil on a secret parallel universe, with its own language and customs, yet one that was very recognizably Soviet. It could operate in the shadows, but once thrust into the broad light of day it immediately became obvious for what it was: a world-class abomination, on par with the Nazi holocaust.
A popular movement developed, devoted to keeping track of prisoners of conscience and communicating their names to foreign news sources. The resulting external pressure on the Soviet government made it difficult for the judiciary meat grinder to operate normally. The monsters running this system generally did not crave parading their monstrousness before a world audience, and this gradually starved the system of new blood. Near the end, under General Secretary Andropov, there was an attempt to stem the tide by rounding up a few dissidents, who by this time had grown quite bold in their opposition, but it was futile and died along with Andropov when he, as it were, dropped off. And so the Soviet Union gradually fell behind in the jails race. By the time the Soviet Union fell apart, its worst atrocities had started to recede into history. There were no widespread calls for reprisals against those who had committed them, who were by then either retired or dead.
In the end the jails race has been won by the Americans, who are currently holding the world record for the percentage of population held in jail. Here, the judiciary meat grinder relies less on secrecy than on obscurity, gorging itself on the poor and the defenseless, while being careful around the moneyed and the privileged. To mask its naked aggression against its citizens, the United States has traditionally used the fig leafs of constitutional rights and due process. But the ill winds now blowing across the country have wilted this decorative flora, and not a week seems to go by without some new reports of abuses or atrocities.
The American justice system favors the educated, the corporations and the rich, and takes unfair advantage of the uneducated, the private citizen and the poor. It would seem that almost any legal entanglement can be resolved through the judicious application of money, while almost any tussle with the law can result in financial penalties and even imprisonment for those who are forced to rely on public defenders. In essence, any sufficiently complex system of laws is inherently unjust, favoring those few who have the resources to grapple with its extreme complexity. This is clearly the case in the United States where, in civil disputes, those with more money can almost always prevail over those with less, simply by threatening to sue.
Many people believe that a criminal is someone who commits a criminal act. This is not true, at least not in the American system of justice. Here, a criminal is someone who has been accused of committing a criminal act, tried for it and found guilty. Whether or not that person has in fact committed the act is immaterial: witnesses may lie, evidence can be fabricated, juries can be manipulated. On the other hand, a person who has committed a criminal act but has not been tried for it, or has been tried and exonerated, is not a criminal, and for anyone to call him a criminal is libelous.
It therefore follows that, within the American justice system, committing a crime and getting away with it is substantially identical to not committing a crime at all. Wealthy clients have lawyers who are constantly testing and, whenever possible, expanding the bounds of legality. Corporations have entire armies of lawyers and can almost always win against individuals. Furthermore, corporations use their political influence to promote the use of binding arbitration, which favors them, as the way to resolve disputes.
The US is by no means unique in jailing or executing innocents and in neglecting to punish the guilty. But while in other countries such injustices can be put down to corruption, oppression or other problems with the justice system, in the US they are designed into the justice system itself. This state of affairs makes it hopelessly naive for anyone to confuse legality with morality, ethics or justice. You should always behave in a legal manner, but this will not necessarily save you from going to jail. In what manner you choose to behave legally is between you and your conscience, God or lawyer, if you happen to have one, and may or may not have anything to do with obeying laws. Legality is a property of the justice system, while justice is an ancient virtue. This distinction is lost on very few people: most people possess a sense of justice and, separate from it, an understanding of what is legal and what they can get away with.
The US legal system, as it stands, offers a fine luxury model, but its budget model is manifestly unsafe. It is good for those who can afford it and bad for those who cannot. In recent years, appalling numbers of those awaiting execution have been exonerated as a result of DNA testing. This amounts to an attempted murder rate high enough to condemn the entire criminal justice system that is responsible for it and, at the very least, ban everyone involved in it from further public service. But nothing of the sort is likely to happen, since most of the victims are poor and are therefore of no consequence to the larger system.
As ever-increasing numbers of people find themselves lapsing into poverty, they will also find that they cannot pay what it takes to secure a good legal outcome for themselves. They will start to see the system not as one of justice but as a tool of oppression, and will learn to avoid it rather than look to it for help. As oppression becomes the norm, at some point the pretense to be serving justice will be dispensed with in favor of a much simpler, efficient, streamlined system of social control, perhaps one based on martial law. To some extent, this shift has already occurred. America now has secret jails, indefinite detention, secret tribunals, Soviet-style show trials, torture of prisoners, family detention for those who happen to cross US-controlled territory without the proper papers, and psychiatric imprisonment for both adults and children, where they are subjected to regimens of experimental anti-psychotic drugs.
Those who bemoan the out-of-control American criminal justice system would like to find ways to make it more effective. But perhaps the real problem is that it is too effective, and needs to become much less so. It is obvious that the jails race serves the purposes of the law enforcement class, providing them with employment, status and ample funds. But it bears pointing out that it serves the interests of the criminal class even better. The prison system offers many services to criminals: it allows them to congregate, network and hold seminars on the finer points of criminal technique and new ways to commit bigger and better crimes without getting caught. Furthermore, it gives criminals a periodic sabbatical, making room for two million more criminals than the victim population could otherwise sustain, ensuring that whenever there arises a fruit ful opportunity to commit a crime, an ample supply of well-rested and highly trained specialists is available to make use of it.
The rationale for imprisoning over two million people in the United States, the world's highest rate of incarceration, is that it deters crime. Sociologists slice and dice crime statistics looking for a correlation between increased rates of incarceration and decreased crime rates. The best they seem to be able to find is a correlation of about 0.25 between an increased rate of incarceration and a decrease in the crime rate. That is, the measurable effect of incarceration levels on crime levels is not significant enough to state that an increase in the former causes a decrease in the latter. More evidence would be needed to declare that the mass incarceration program is in any sense functional. It is sometimes possible to find a stronger correlation between, say, rain dances and rainfall amounts.
While the criminal justice system seems like an effective way to promote crime, it may be even more effective in serving the atavistic desire of the population to see punishment doled out, which in more barbaric times brought crowds to gaze up at the sacrificial altar atop a pyramid, or the scaffold, the stake or the guillotine, and which even today brings a strange glint to the eye of American elected leaders when the subject of capital punishment comes up during political debates. It is in the nature of powerless people to vicariously enjoy the exercise of arbitrary power by others.
Whereas the Nazis had to tattoo identification numbers on their concentration camp victims, Americans now have access to more modern technology, such as implantable radio frequency identification (RFID) tags, biometric and face recognition systems, satellite surveillance, ubiquitous surveillance cameras and globally networked databases. These can theoretically enable the United States to turn much of the planet into a single large Gulag, or at least to overextend itself and collapse while trying.
When this system finally collapses (as they all do), its surviving victims, who have no experience of anything better, will likely perpetuate this culture of abuse at an ever lower and more miserable level. At this point, there is really very little to be done about the American culture of crime, except suffer from it, reaping what has already been sown. The long-term effect of perpetuating an unequal and unjust social order, amplified by a program of mass imprisonment, is to create a vast society of victims.
Evil Empires
When Ronald Reagan referred to the Soviet Union as the "evil empire," this label, impolitic though it was, made sense to a great number of people and the label stuck. But what a difference two decades can make! Shortly after Reagan stood at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin and spoke the words, "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!," the Berlin wall was indeed broken down into souvenir-sized pieces, but twenty years later big political walls are again fashionable, except now it is Americans and their clients that are putting them up. There is a wall along the US-Mexican border, countless walls carving up Palestine into a pattern Jimmy Carter accurately labeled as "apartheid," a currently stalled plan to partition Baghdad into Shiite and Sunni ghettos and numerous walls within the US itself around gated communities and exclusive compounds.
For an American, hiding behind a wall is becoming an increasingly good idea. Over the last two decades, memory of the Soviet Union has faded from view, while the United States has taken its place as the symbol of all that is evil throughout much of Europe, the Muslim countries and many other parts of the world. Wherever there is public protest, be it against war, injustice, globalization, violations of human rights, environmental destruction or policies that accelerate catastrophic climate change, it is the United States that offers a conveniently large and easy target. While much of the population throughout the world is dead set against cooperation with the United States, their political leaders have to be careful: the United States is still a little too powerful to oppose directly. On the other hand, any appearance of overt appeasement of American ambitions has come to spell automatic disaster at the polls, so the politicians stall and bide their time.
As the ultimately futile nine-year Soviet occupation of Afghanistan wore on, the economy stagnated and a succession of dour, gray-faced, geriatric General Secretaries succeeded each other atop the Lenin mausoleum, a number of people within the higher echelons of the Communist party started to find their evilness somewhat humiliating. The imperial status was non-negotiable, as was the socialist ideology, but some sort of work-around strategy was clearly required for the evilness bit. Gorbachev gave voice to these official yearnings through his glasnost and perestroika campaigns. A great number of partial excuses, of the "mistakes were made" variety, were offered.
I remember a certain conversation that took place around that time, in the late 80s. The topic of discussion was, "What could these bastards (meaning the Soviet government) possibly want now? " A wizened old lady offered an answer that seemed nonsensical at first, but made a lot of sense upon reflection: they want shame. They are tired of being bad as in "evil"; now they just want to be bad as in "not very good." They are even willing to feel a little bit ashamed about it and to offer some vaguely worded apologies, provided that these fall well short of them actually accepting any responsibility. You see, evil and incompetence do not mix. Our imagination cannot conceive of the Devil who would have your immortal soul in a jiffy, if only he could locate the paperwork. It's one Hell of a mess down there. The demons who handle the paperwork have become so lazy it's a sin. "To hell with them! " the Devil would like to say, but that's where they reside already, plus he can't recall the details of who lost what when, and so there is nothing to be done. As mistakes continue to be made, the sinners can breathe more easily.
Twenty years later, it is the American officials that are making a spectacular show of their incompetence. But rather than mincing words Gorbachev-style, the Americans are able to achieve a wonderful theatrical effect, thanks to their plain-spoken, straight-talking President. From "Mission accomplished," spoken as the Iraqi insurgency takes off, to "Brownie, you're doing a heck of a job! " as New Orleans drowns, to many other, similarly preposterous statements, we hear a Presidential clarion call to national incompetence. It is a mistake to view such utterances as gaffes or blunders or flights of whimsy: they are true thought leadership. Other high officials have their own strategies: the Vice President pretends to be delusional, producing a steady stream of strongly worded statements of fiction, while the former Attorney General simulates early onset Alzheimer's with a compelling display of fogged memory. Other administration officials make a show of accidentally destroying important documents but, for added effect, they destroy them incompetently, so that copies are soon retrieved. American officials at all levels should fall in line with this brilliant strategy that has been handed down to them from on high as stone tablets from Mount Sinai. Should they fail to do so, history will remember them as evil. Should they succeed, history will mercifully consign their memory to oblivion, judging them to be merely incompetent.
Image by gwburke2001 courtesy of Creative Commons license.
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Nobody wants to define
Nobody wants to define evil, then find its reflection staring back at them? Easier to declare it an intractable problem.
www.martialdevelopment.com
Threesomes
Melchizedek in "Flower of Life" says something interesting about polarity consciousness in the 3rd dimension. Yes- it is a world of dialectic opposites, but there is also always a third component.
For instance: black, white, gray
Man, woman, hermaphrodite (and you know about the qabbalisitc divine hermaphrodite)
and perhaps in this case: good, evil, and incompetnece
As we recently celebrated
As we recently celebrated perpetual war day(sept. 11) here in the states I cant help but wonder when the powers that be set that little machination into motion, that they didn't think it might possibly lead to the demise of their evil empire in the long run, or are they more like the wall street fat cats who can only perceive the world in the short term and are, literally as I write this, apparently running the economy (which is fake anyway) into the ground. Of course these public relations failures like Iraq may be short term setbacks in the long term game plan as the slaves on this corporate plantation are set to choose between the two pro war candidates.(yeah, Obama, in my opinion, is a fake.) That this machine may run out of gas is perhaps the only hope I can see, but how soon will it be before the rulers begin appealing to the people for resource wars without any pretense of liberation and democracy for those we viciously attack? War for lower gas prices and a continued culture of convenience is after all the honest truth. And how will the ruled respond? When I look around me I dont feel too optimistic and I find myself hoping this empire falls apart before it comes to that.P E A C E ?Smells like holiday
Ah, ''perpetual war day''...I like the ring of that! Sounds something so patriarchical, masculine, mechanical, American.
Strauss
Land of the fear, home of the slave
So, first there was the fear of the outsiders. And now we have a new product for sale: they're called terrorists. And you can get them in all different colors and sizes; available most anywhere. So now we can buy fear from the convenience of our home towns. But wait, there's more! These terrorists come with all sorts of accessories: RFID chips, enhanced surveillance, ablation of all citizen rights, ignorance of basic human rights.
The question is, when we have closed the gates in our private communities and have stocked up on duct tape; who do we fear next? Oh yeah, that's right, there's always a new biological pandemic just around the corner.
Peace as mutual respect
Your article has so many points it seems it would take just as long an article to respond.
This doesn't need to be a 'pissing match'.
Summarizing 'America' or the 'USA' as some one 'entity' is as rediculous as saying the 'CIA' is just one entirely homogenous group of folk with only defensive ends as their external and internal objectives.
We know very well the same applied to the 'KGB' and how some thought kindly of the US and others hated the US with a passion. Same goes with the covert-folk in the OSS/CIA. And everyone has some 'party' affiliation and some personal or private agenda that makes at least some if not a lot of the work of such agencies wasted on 'internal security'.
Everyone is an enemy and everyone is a friend, depending on the objectives.
The putative objective of the US has been primarilly, legally, been based on the idea that we have the right to defend ourselves and that we cannot impose upon others our system or have what others follow imposed on us.
That this 'ideal' was not really believed and followed can be supported by an abundance of just internal evidence within the USA. And our progress has been a testament to the facts: popular opinion does impose some parity so as to prevent some all-out destruction campaign. After all, towards the end of WWII, Patton wanted to march all the way through. And that idea was nixed.
Can you believe that we might actually miss the 'cold war'? We had security in the knowledge of the fear of potential of mutual destruction.
No one who is relevantly informed doubts that the USSR could have really done havoc in Afghanistan and there would not only not be any 'Usama Bin Laden' anymore, but no Kyber Pass or any life in that region. Period.
Not even all the arsenal available was used. Why not?
Some thinkers seem to think they know. Potential universal conflagration has to be part of the figuring. 'Minimalistic warfare'.
When Krushev talked with Kennedy privately, it is said JFK came out visibly shaken and either white with rage or maybe fear.
I can only give my personal opinion about this, but I think he found out what Krushev knew through his superior intelligence network and said what Kennedy already suspected: people in our own Nation had already instigated a plan to remove JFK one way or another, and Kennedy left that room not with rage against Krushev, but against the information about intentional internal subversion; and fear with regard to his family.
He had no fear of personal death, as is fully know by the extant record of his own words and actions.
Krushev gave information that proved his information was probative and could be falsified or proven. But JFK already was on the track and apparently was given some advice. We'll never know.
Krushev became his friend from that day on, despite all the posturing. Kennedy was thereafter at war with people in his own country and against their plans.
Maybe I'm naive, and don't get it, being relatively ignrent.
A timeline about this meeting and what transpired thereafter can be read different ways.
I'm of the opinion that this is closer to the facts than all the sophisticated gobbly-de-gook about this and that of international 'parity' and differences positioning for propogating 'socializm' versus 'capitalism'.
We have seen since Reagan a continuation of what Kennedy most feared about the people around him. Even Nixon wasn't nearly so dangerous to the 'American Ideal' as Reagan and Bush and Bush et al.s were and are.
These folk are foxes in the henhouse. And, don't doubt it Dmitry, many of us are way onto this. The big problem currently is: how do we know what we say in terms of 'vote' actually gets transmitted true to form.
We can love everyone. The Russian, the Ukraine, the Serb or Croat, the Nigerian, the Mexican or the Peruvian or Chilean or whomever. How, though, do we get this general kindheartedness transmitted faithfully?
Americans as US citizens, must apply excoriating and even corrosive analysis to itself by comparing the putative 'ideals' of what it means to be a citizen and the principles espoused at the beginning and eliminate all contradictions to this principle.
I don't know to what extent Soviet infiltration has influenced people like Reagan and the Bushes, but if the Soviets were really against us all that much, they couldn't have wished for better samples of mind-sets capable of destroying the 'great devil'.
For all we know, Usama Bin Laden was financed by such idiots. Which idiots? American or Soviet?
In that perspective, we can actually see the 'collapse' as a tactic. And we can go on being paranoid. The only salvation for either 'superpower' is accession to the universal wish for peace and happiness. Selected methods will always be issues of contention. One thing is certain: we must make the rules of Diplomacy absolutely inviolable with definite 'punishments' or proscriptions for doing so backed by resonable force.
While such might also end up with a universal 'stand-off' or even stagnation, it is a far-sight better than allowing some glad-handed bully running rough-shod over all the world.
The idea of a 'universal monarch' is a lost cause.
Jesus won't do it. And anyone who thinks they can do it can only be defined as a megalomaniac. Insane.
The 'United Nations' is automatically disbarred from having any probity for making such so. The very name is an imposition and must impose some absolute least common denominator, and that creates a whole new 'war'.
The League of Nations is coming back and must displace this sham called the 'UN'.
We need not be beligerant or require more than just practical concerns especially with regard to the livibility of the planet.
We can co-operate. We can impose sanctions, both internally and externally.
Right now, we have a big problem here in the US: the Constitution is being cast aside as of no legal effect. We cannot even impose punishments on people who willfully fail to appear before the Representation of the People of the United States.
These 'wise guys' think they can thumb their noses at Legal and Ligitimate Authority. They have, in effect usurped the Authority of the Legislature and made the Executive branch of our government as tyranical. The tyrant has made the Power eunoch or impotent.
Imagine that! Self-sterilization, and it re-began with the puny attack of President Clinton on issues utterly of no import to National Policy. This is 'precedent law'. Not logical, not pertinent, and yet really grabs the 'tv generation'. Judge Judy, I'm sure, would have pardoned Nixon and made the entire process of impeachment just like it is today. So, Judge Judy and Nancy Pelosi are confreres. All show, not substance.
And, can you imagine it? In this 'land of the free', I am fearful for my own safety and security in just saying these things openly and publically. So, if anything happens to me, maybe you can do some research on that? Okay, friend?
00000000000000000000000000
4th re-edit. No more. Criticize as you deem fit.
Stepping away
A worryingly insightful piece about how vampiric old men the world over herd populations into complicity.
I've been scratching my head for the last 8 years trying to figure out what game is being played out over the airwaves 24/7; when the dead eyed rich kid made his opening move on China regarding a downed spy plane, we knew his skewed eyed stare was here to bring war.
Sure it’s all about control, but could it actually be that the imposition of such preposterous clowns as Bush, Bliar, Brown is in fact a method of side stepping accountability (as is suggested above)? It seems that the media and politicians (establishment) are adept at producing only one thing: extreme negativity. If you could package what they produce there wouldn’t be a warehouse big enough.
Either way having no power whatsoever over your own life (save participating in a sinking system) is starting to get a little tiresome. Here in the UK everybody labours under massive debt, the cost of living is ludicrous (in the US you’re on the way to paying $4 a gallon of gas, here we pay close to what amounts to $9) and we have absolutely no say in the running of the country. Our government panders to the Whitehouse at every turn and seems incapable of any positive action.
Why would it though? There is no nation anymore, there is only money and rich men’s interests. Everything is resource, everything to be exploited.
On a final note, our media is forever going on about the violent youth (we’ve created) and radicalisation of Islamic youth etc – they don’t fully appreciate that there may be a portion of the population wishing to dispel with the entity called England. http://www.guardian.co.uk/education/2008/sep/14/research.humanbehaviour
We want our country (the islands) back. Those not already shut down with reality TV or hypnotised by the lie of patriotism or nationality are already radicalised (if that means we just want an end to the chrade). At some point we'll take a peaceful (and meaningful) step away from this mess.
The addiction of the untermensch
"Meet the new boss, same as the old boss."
It would be great if we did all wake up tomorrow and see ourselves as slaves; even better to burn down Master's house. Unfortunately, so many people identify themselves with the slave mentality, that they would be more lost, wandering around the embers of the burning plantation, desperate to be told what to do next, searching for the new Master, with similar instructions. And I do fear a Stockholm Syndrome of global proportions. But, what an uprising it would be!
engineer the event
Instead of awaiting an event to awaken the sheeple, perhaps we can create media that incites this awareness. There are going to be many horrific events in the next few years. The question is, who is going to control the cultural narrative that shapes how people think and respond? The Internet opens up the possibility that the corporate mass media could be superseded by an alternative media.
I don't think that Zeitgest or Esoteric Agenda are works of genius, but the incredible viewership that both are getting online shows that there is a potential to craft material for a new global audience of people who seem to be trying to think for themselves.
Check it Out
http://www.bushflash.com/thanks.html
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/bushswar/
Must see stuff for those that want to get up to speed.
Don't cause a stampede
Humans are easily panicked, and are dangerous when they are panicked. Most people are willfully ignorant, and resent people who force them to think in new ways.
Reminds me of an old Russian joke: what to do in the case of a nuclear attack? Cover yourself with a bedsheet and crawl slowly toward the cemetary. Why slowly? So as not to cause a stampede!
You are a
wise and patient teacher, Mr. Orlov. I quite enjoyed this glance at the conductor sweeps of recent history. cjmoore, always a florid response, though might we discover the diablo particle by mistake? Not WIMPy or MACHO at all...
Now ever more awareness to absorb.
Deciding, ever leary of the orb,
to mask our hatred of plantation life:
Whereby we buy only those things we can't afford.
This, my cyber-friends, is why, with cash money mind you, I finally bought a firearm, a second pair of boots, an axe and a shovel. As soon as I find a pleasant and defensible location in the woods, I shall fell me some trees and dig me a hole. You are, of course, all welcome to assist.
"They are not long, the days of wine and roses;
Out of a misty dream our path emerges for a while, then closes
Within a dream." -Ernest Dowson
Optimism - realism?
Daniel, I appreciate your consistent optimism and urging that we become the creators of our global cultural narrative, the trajectory of our navigations into this brave new world, etc.
I however, and certainly unfortunately, am getting more and more cynical about these possibilities. Folks like those that frequent RS.com and other like-minded community sites, appear to me (and this is certainly just my own experience talking), to be in the radical minority.
Other folks, friends, family members, etc. - they just don't want to hear it? I guess, the question becomes, will they want to hear it when their world paradigm really does start to fall apart in a way that directly affects them. I'm not trying to be a doomsayer here, but, shit - if we look around, things aren't going to be very pleasant over the course of even just the next year.
Today (9/16), the American economy truly is coming apart at the seams. I don't know if 1.5 million viewership of Esoteric Agenda and Zeitgeist is enough. I just don't know. Giving up is foolish, obviously, but man... I don't feel good, mentally, emotionally... I really don't feel good about the future.
What are we going to do?
It's going to get wild.
Thank you for all your responses
Hey Reality Lunch Crowd! My blog is at http://cluborlov.blogspot.com - lots of other articles to be found there, plus an open thread to discuss this posting. Please drop by.
Thanks,
Dmitry
Free World!
Hello All,
I think we should 'engineer the event' backwards from a vantage of total victory. It is my opinion that freedom and justice are pre-existing conditions that predate the origins of imperial civilization *. 'History is a nightmare I am trying to wake up from' says the semi-conscious citizen of the 'plantation', and liberty is in fact the waking state. Empire is a dream, a hallucination, or a protracted psychotic outburst. What is required now is basically twofold, and not at all impossible. In fact, it is inevitable, if only because it will be necessary to cope with the disastrous reality of Empire in its death throes. Here's what we do.
1. Communicate. Propagate the ideas & tools of a free society using democratic non-commercial media forms, like the internet, open-source forums, art/music/culture, & gatherings (public gatherings and discourses should replace 'protest' and 'demonstration' as the preferred method of street level action. we need to stop addressing ourselves to power and begin addressing each other). The world is ripe for these ideas and, if they are expressed in an artful, passionate and relevant way, they will catch on like wildfire. As Orlov notes, Empires fall when their binding ideals appear tarnished and hollow. Most of the world is now starving for an ideal of freedom & justice that is authentic. The global commons, the community of the gift, the 'FREE WORLD', is such an ideal.
2. Create. The creation of community mutual aid networks will be essential to surviving the collapse. People need to get together to work out creative solutions to resource shortages, energy problems, etc on a community level... Decentralized, localized food and energy systems should be explored and if possible activated. We need to re-imagine a gift economy for the post-modern world, and resuscitate the 'commons' (free stores, free restaurants, free university, free information, free farms, free digital content, free culture, free seeds, free everything! Also, skill sharing will be a vital way of dealing with a crippled social infrastructure). We then need to link these networks together on a global scale, (cross-over between 'first' and 'third-world' communities is essential) and co-ordinate meaningful political and social actions.
If we are able to activate a network of mutual aid societies quickly and effectively, we may be able to ride out the fall of empire and the implosion of capitalism. In the process, we will have begun creating the first truly global democratic society in history. Or, rather, we will have awoken from the nightmare of history into the waking life of freedom and justice.
"even to imagine success on so radical a scale is victory" - wsb
peace everybody!
D - www.myspace.com/thedeclineofthewest
-i can't believe i am actually adding a footnote here, but what the hell.-
**this is not to say that i believe in a lost utopia or in the inherent perfection of indigenous cultures. but what those cultures do demonstrate is an innate human instinct toward mutual aid, and a tendency toward anti-authoritarian, non-hierarchical social forms. Authoritarian 'civilization' is the abomination that proves the rule (or, in the case of this kind of anarchist analysis, the lack thereof).
In another sense, the idea that freedom-and-justice is an all-pervasive rhizomatic presence, an essential aspect of our 'ground of being', is perhaps an unquantifiable metaphysical assumption. However, for anyone involved in non-dualist spirituality, that assumption becomes demonstrable through spiritual practice.
From an evolutionary standpoint, the concept that we are evolving from an exploded singularity through various states of increasing sophistication and awareness seems to suggest self-determination and co-creation as an endpoint, or an attractor. It seems that we are moving inexorably from the chaos of the original conflagration towards some sort of harmony, which exists both at the beginning and the end of our journey. That is why I am presenting the inevitability of freedom as a motif here. It should be good for morale. Because, if we have already won, how can we possibly lose?
free culture
Man, i love that idea of FREE CULTURE! Is there perhaps nothing more revolutionary than to give away the things which you put your heart and soul into. After all, aren't those things priceless. I'm trying to make steps in that direction with my band by giving away our recorded output for free. I feel like the commodification of art has cheapened it to the point where no one can or should take it seriously. Thats why I love homemade podcasts that are funded by donation, if at all. I love graffiti and I love the symbolism in the burning temples of burning man. I love the idea of "poetic terrorism" that Hakim Bey speaks of in the Temporary Autonomous Zone. When peer 2 peer manifests in the physical world then we will really get it on. Instead of fighting capitalism we can bypass it all together. I guarantee they have no plan for that. They may be able to force us to buy, but they cant force us to sell. Perhaps by creating a culture of radical giving we can bring the empire to its knees. Ah, dreams.......Galactic Federation
This kind of "dreaming" (and I put "dreaming" in quotes because I think dreams happen in reality ALL THE TIME) makes my stomach smile- like- deep inside.
Yes! The commodification of art has boxed in the entire idea of The Matrix of Life. Creation is our birthright and interpenetrates all aspects or our waking existence. (Yellow Star- Mayan calendar). Art should be free! Always! (Unless of course you are playing the business-art game and need to sell a painting and hey that's valid too).
TAZ is my anarcho-art BIBLE. I have a few tricks up my sleeve for Election Day that involve clown and zombie "armies." Politics will never equate to our own personal liberation- at least not in the unintelligible anti-life state they're currently in. I do believe humanity needs to invite the Galactic Federation to intervene so that the New World Order does not sweep across the globe which it likely will if the GF is not invited to intervene.
One does not need to fight a dying empire, only to subvert and create.
Re: "Thank you for all your responses"
Woah! Dmitry, not so fast.
I appreciate your link to your site, which I will happily explore. But how 'bout some relevant commentary here to what's said here, in reponse to what you said here?
We will not be dissipated! This is not just an advertisement site! There is a discussion here now and so you have created a little 'baby' here. And asking us to go 'there' to continue it don't quite cut it. At least for me. Tend the creation.
We have had some 'dissipation' occur before and it was quite traumatic and not very nice. A treasure came and went, (and dearly missed) so it behooves any new author to take care it doesn't occur twice.
We aren't mean-folk, by and large. It can be a forge somewhat. We're only stronger by moving through the 'fires' of examination . . . as long as such 'fire' doesn't go too far.
Sure, dissipation is bad
Nice.
You're a good little troll, yes you are! ::pet::
Agent X
Do you mean the FBI as in the Federal Bureau of Inspiration? 'Cause I see a few of their members here currently.
THE 'LEFT' OF EVERY GENERATION re-invents the wheel with it's High Minded Non-Action and bitty, over-hyped, incremental advancements.
It is these incremental advancements in their accompanying "over-hyped" success that causes people to jump on the bandwagon and get on the "good ship," whatever that is. Remember the whole sudden green trip in L.A.? Propoganda is important. The idea that revolution will come in tablespoons that when doled out incrementally, repetively, and consistently, will cause a whole lot of substance in the long run.
This all-at-once death-rebirth advance and over-throw by fire (civil war, etc.) idea of the dominator paradigm is instant gratification at its most masculine impotent. This revolution is going to creep up on those who are ready. And those who aren't are going to see the dominator paradigm's death by fire assault. They will be MADE ready- or- they will perish. Let's pray that needless suffering of the innocents is at minimum (but realistically know that there will be a lot of needless suffering and have compassion for those who don't survive- physically, or spiritually).
But cum on X- you sound a bit fascistic about wanting to institute some form of "panarchy," to the effect of having it in every post. I don't know anything about it (though I probably am a panarchist)- but wouldn't it leave room for all non-instutional ways of being/acting/thinking? Doesn't that INCLUDE anarchy? and the avant-garde? and avant-garbage?
What the hell is panarchy anyway?
If you haven't got anything nice to say....
I would totally love to tell
That this site is itself an expression of opinions dissenting from the norm?
Ha.
By the way, most of us agree the Left is essentially impotent. I don't think there are many of us, but I only can speak for myself, that identify with all that antiquated materialist ideology anymore. We're looking for something else, that is, afterall while we're here.
However, most importantly, I'm the idiot here, because I know I'm gonna hit that post button and play right into your little flame war, and completely ignore the content of the story herein posted.
No one's censoring you, Ms. Matyrdom. We couldn't if we tried.
Dmitry Orlov's Reinventing Collapse
You make sense, Neil!
Thanks for the recommendation, again.
This thread seems to be for personal manifestos, musings on the nature of good and evil, political polemics, poetry... did I miss anything? Oh, superpower symmetries and collapse trajectories... that must have come up at some point, right?
Anyway, happy to run across you in a strange land on the other side of the rabbit hole.
Then a question:
I would agree with a minor premise in your piece, that the American Justice system has evolved into a 'for-profit' maze. Sentences are calculated according to definite tables used to calculate profit and loss and not according to actual US Code or some principle of punishment to fit the crimes.
And this tendancy has been proliferated by elected reps and further grown by appointees and the over-riding atmosphere of 'administrations' who see 'government' as a burden or rather, the running of the country as a 'business'. Hence we see the growing trend under such 'capitalistas' to engage corporations to 'supplement' regular service branches: Blackwater, KBR, etc.
This is a political insurgency, and we are well aware of the problem without being just all 'leftys'. There is social conservatism and fiscal liberalism (Republican?) and Social liberalism and fiscal conservatism (Democrat?). And there are other combinations and so we have Republicans who really hate where things have gone, and Democrats who obviously don't care and are all for it (by abstention or just plainly playing the 'get along gang' themesong?).
Do you have anything to add as to what Americans are doing right? Or what we can do which we aren't currently? Or maybe of which we are not doing enough currently?
Is all you write about is how stupid we are?
I mean, the People? Or do you think we are as stupid as the leaders?
Gee whiz, guess I'll go back sucking my hooka and dropping whatever this is in this little cake that says "eat me".
Read the rest of the book
I'm glad I'm glad I'm glad
The Key Element is Freedom
A tricky one to test
Sleepers Awake it's Freedom O'Clock
None of this is particularly relevant
Take a deep breath
The US has huge reserves of oil, coal and natural gas. Did you know that the second largest oil reserve in world behind Saudi Arabi in located in Athabasca Canada. US Oil addiction is maxing out our country's credit, this is true. Just remember that when your sheltered under paper the rockets can come at you sideways. So don't underestimate the power of addiction, junkies will do what ever it takes to get a fix. Foreign interest have a lot at stake and can't afford to see the US collapse financially. The top three US investors Japan, China and the UK are holding 1400 billion in US treasury securities. If the US collapses they could weaken and collapse. I don't think the average person realizes how interconnected the US is to the world's second largest economy. Japan, United Kindom, Canada and Australia are very closely interconnected both economically and strategically. The US does not stand alone, the US has some very powerful friends.
Go to oildrum.com and get yourself educated
Synthetic Fuels
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synthetic_fuel
"Synthetic fuels require a relatively high price of crude oil in order to be competitive with petroleum-based fuels without subsidies. However, they offer the potential to supplement or replace petroleum-based fuels if oil prices continue to rise. Several factors make synthetic fuels attractive relative to competing technologies such as biofuels, ethanol/methanol or hydrogen:
The raw material (coal) is available in quantities sufficient to meet current demand for centuries
It can produce gasoline, diesel or kerosene directly without the need for additional steps such as reforming or cracking
There is no need to design new vehicles or convert current ones to use a different fuel
There is no need to build a new distribution network"
On a green side note http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_fertilization
Pretty funny!
"The raw material (coal) is available in quantities sufficient to meet current demand for centuries" It's amazing how easy it is to misrepresent reality without actually stating a falsehood.
Sure, coal is available in quantities sufficient to continue making synthetic fuels in the same quantities they are being made now, for centuries. There isn't enough coal to replace oil-based transportation fuels with synthetic ones for any length of time.
I make that point as well
cannibal sailboats
Hey Dmitry,
I felt a little embarrassed after reading your comment about personal manifestos, political polemics, etc... I dug your article greatly, thought it was funny and to the point. I especially appreciate the attention you bring to the prison and wall problems that superpowers seem predisposed toward. dostoyevsky said the measure of a civilization is in how it treats its prisoners. extrapolating from that, i suggest we get rid of prisons altogether. like thoreau: 'the government which governs best, governs not at all'.
but what i wanted to say was that, although it is interesting to discuss the ins and outs of 'superpower symmetry & collapse dynamics', for many of us the more pressing concern is: 'what do we do when the shithouse goes up?' (especially considering the market crash that happened the day this article was posted). judging from your blog, it seems you have a rather hobbesian view of human nature and may even expect cannibalism to erupt in a post-collapse america. purchasing a sail boat is offered up as survival tactic. i dig sailboats, (i understand you even live on a sailboat, which seems pretty fun, actually) but i don't think that's going to cut it for most of us. (what if the cannibals get sailboats, too?)
a lot of us have expected the fall of america for a long time, and now that it actually seems to be happening, we're faced with both the task of insuring our survival and the opportunity of reinventing our culture. as a musician, i find the current economic/social/cultural environment pretty insufferable anyway. i, like many others, am longing for a new way of organizing our affairs, so that culture can take its proper place in society unmolested by commercialism, and so that our daily economic life doesn't have to so closely resemble meaningless drudgery, spiritual prostitution, and usurious extortion. the sovietization of corporate life that you suggested to the harvard business school, though interesting, might not cut it any more than sailboats would...
so what do you think we should do post-collapse?
all the best,
D
www.myspace.com/thedeclineofthewest
There are no stock answers
Group think got us into this mess, and it won't get us out. Whatever solution you come up with has to be your own, and its effectiveness will be in direct proportion to its originality. If too many people try the same thing, that thing becomes less effective. But if you want obvious things that you'll probably be forced into anyway, here's a short list:
- Give up driving
- Grow and gather your own food
- Learn lots of manual skills, like sewing and carpentry
- Connect with people face to face, not electronically
- Learn to find/construct temporary shelte
- Learn to defend yourselves by forming cohesive groups
Don't you think then, that
Don't you think then, that an actual movement toward propagating decentralized, networked community living, a la kropotkin's mutual aid society's, would be the best possible preparation for the imminent collapse? because our chances for a decent life increase exponentially the more we get together. if we continue into the post collapse world living atomized, isolated existences, survival will be a most unpleasant process. that's why in my 'polemic' i mentioned skill-sharing, gift economy and the commons as possible alternative ways of living, that can begin to take root now, and actually begin to thrive in a post collapse world. collapse is a blessing in disguise. not only will it force us off of oil and other toxic addictions, it will provide us with the opportunity to radically reinvent society.
which brings me to a point that is over looked in a purely geopolitical, resource based analysis of collapse. besides its talent for producing weapons and financial institutions, America was the 20th centuries leading producer of libertarian ideas and aesthetics. blues jazz rock&roll hip hop punk 'alternative' etc... to name only a few musical movements which corresponded in their heydays to various radical social movements. I would argue that America is primarily a culture generator, and the culture it produces, the lasting culture which generally outlives its pop-commercial counterparts, is radically libertarian. It follows then, that although the corrupt framework of American political & economic life may crumble, the cultural life of the American people (and America is a nexus of World-Culture) may be reinvigorated in a post collapse world, disseminating a radical culture that will spread to the far reaches of the globe. In my wildest utopian fantasy, even people in China & Russia & Saudi Arabia will get down with the idea of global democracy, and a global commons, and will not want to stick it to us as bad as they did when all we produced were military bases and jessica simpsons.
peace,
D
www.myspace.com/thedeclineofthewest
The more that learn it before the fall, the better. . .
There's this guy, Robert David Steele, who is putting out the idea of "open source everything" basically, and one thing I liked of his is the Earth Game. Add to this things like Permaculture and supporting local economies, there are many memes/ideas/systems that are alive right now and just waiting to be picked up by as many of us as possible.
Add to this the social technologies of Citizen's Deliberative Councils, which is a blanket term that includes such things as Wisdom Councils and Dutch Technology Panels, there are most definitely many tools available that could cause many small to medium sized American towns to start becoming wholly self-sufficient! The problems that will occur, if and when the bottom falls out, will happen mostly in the highly populated cities and suburbs! With little access to real tangible foodstuffs and water supply, not to mention already pre-existing high crime areas, the cities will be fucked in a real bad way, causing many "bad guys" to spread out towards the suburbs.
But who can start spreading these ideas of a sustainable culture now? Who is willing to drop the mass-culture and think seven generations into the future? Surely this lot on here, but we can't be the only ones!
In my mind, it seems that so many people are becoming "activated" as like sponges for this new, evolutionary stuff, that perhaps its the collective unconscious way of preparing us for this fall or whatever, and so the people that are aware of these things and these ways of co-operative living will be the leaders of the post-collapse world. Ideally that would be the case, and so the more of us who integrate this stuff into our lives the better, because we need all the "lights" on as we can possibly get right now!!!
Here's some links to follow:
Robert Steele Talk
http://www.thelasthope.org/media/audio/64kbps/Earth_Intelligence_Network...
Earth Intelligence Network
http://www.earth-intelligence.net
Re: Citizen Deliberative Councils
http://www.co-intelligence.org/CDCUsesAndPotency.htmlBlack Light in the Attic Podcast w/Serpicody & Sancho
http://blacklightattic.podomatic.com
Wake Up!
han shan
The collapse already happened a long time ago !
Times-a-wasting!
Get it up or get over it but,
GET IT ON!
http://www.myspace.com/whiteheap
hold your horses apocalystas!
before we hungrily pronounce terminal illness on USA and batten down the hatches for apocalypse NOW lets not be so rash. I've been following RS for a little while and generally it seems to get the right balance of provocative viewpoints without falling into the David Icke Lizard-men/ high-paranoia shadow that this stuff so often can lead to. I feel some comments here are starting to move in that murky direction (though only a bit). The wailing and gnashing of teeth 'oh woe is us!', the longing for destruction as a cure to industrialized ills etc.
Obviously most people on here are tired of the 'old paradigm' and the temptation to hanker after the cosmic 2012 sudden death/rebirth archetype is strong and understandable. But I still think its mental poison its a symptom of the externalized thinking we are all ensnared by. Its telling and worrying that many people prefer the proposition of probable death or starvation the any real imminent collapse would entail to their current boring marriage and soul-crushing job.
I notice one posturing poster on here pours scorn on 'incremental' thinking as weakness. Sorry i'm not a guns and tits out shout it all about type of guy. it wouldn't be me. Feel free to bring on the panarchy revolution where you are though!
I want to live a less commodified & more authentic life anyway. I don't need to wait for 'the paradigm shift' angel to swoop down and give me an excuse or do it for me or bestow it on me. I don't want to immamentize the aplocalypse through writting and thinking about it all day long. I don't need to wait for news of the latest economic turmoil to validate my decision (SEE...i was right to learn how to recycle my own shit!!!). I guess this is similar to many on here but thought it might bear stating simply. It comes down to practical everyday effort every day - yes incremental for most of us. The dramatic change is itself a residue of the american dream myth- 'boy gets a job as a clerk and within a year he's a millionaire stock-broker- superstar transformation!!! its played out in many hollywood movies.And in terms of the current economic fun and games we're having on the news.. here's what ecologist M.J Greer suggests:
"Like the proverbial frog in the saucepan, those who think of apocalyptic collapse as the only way industrial civilization can break down are far less likely to notice the gradual changes in their environment that are leading in the same direction, just more slowly. It’s as though the boy who cried wolf was convinced that immense armies of wolves would suddenly swoop down and eat up all the sheep in the world at once, and mistook every whistle of wind in the trees for the distant howling of the wolf pack to end all wolf packs; meanwhile, practically under his nose, real wolves – scruffy, undersized, and quite depressingly few in number compared to the massed uber-wolves of the fantasy – were picking off a sheep or two each day from the fringes of the flock."
Greer puts the collapse of the industrialized paradigm in terms of decades to a century- a long descent via a series of tipping points and unpleasant jolts like the one happening now. This long descent doesn't leave any room for complacency or sitting around waiting for the 2012 cosmic alien/economic armageddon monster to rapture us up into higher consciousness/new paradigm - we need to just get on with it quietly. And that's why i'm more inclined towards someone like Greer's interpretation than many of the others.
simon
www.shootingpeople.org/cards/sharpcuts
Society of one
Hi Pieman
I agree with you when you say that you don’t need to wait for the ‘paradigm shift angel’ in order to start making changes in your life. However, to be fair I don’t think the majority of people using this site intend to do so either.
However I do still think that there are a bit too many willing to be led by the nose - occasionally it seems as if the faculty of reason has been suspended altogether.
I’m in no way happy living under the rules of a capitalist society racing downhill, but I’m not inclined to welcome mass suffering with open arms as an alternative. Should we not throw out our TV’s and start steering this ship in the direction we want. Is this not our lives we’re talking about?
I’m not sure why we insist on waiting for governments or gurus or some third force to offer deliverance from our problems: is this not our mess anyway?
Most interest in peak oil, economic collapse and all the rest is in fact a form of escape. I’m no different, I’ve been spellbound myself, but it does divert from the actions we need to take today.
Start with a society of one, govern it as you see fit.
slavery
People are encouraged to get a "good" education and the unnecessary price creates a large percentage of the "slaves" (aka workforce). These "slaves" work hard to put their kids through the "colleges" (inefficient education-certification system) OR the "slaves" acquire large debts while attending the "colleges". The inherent flaws in our system(s) ensure that the people in power retain their "slaves". There are also many means of psychological manipulation through the systems which discourage individual uniqueness in rebelling from what the people in power desire (normal behavior).
normal behavior includes:
- materialism
- "patriotism"
- lethargy
- apathy
- religion
- acceptance of unjust law(s)
- trust in country(those in power)
- opinion that cops are right and must be supported
- opinion that soldiers are right and ""
- opinion that it is OK to sign for sel. serv. (note that we wont let people fight dogs, but we do let people fight people)
- etc.
- persecution of "non-normal" behavior
thanks
Hi Dimitry,
Thanks for being a generous contributor to the discussion here. I truly enjoyed your book and your acerbic sense of humor.
I do agree with Devon that there is a potential for creating a network for transformation in the US. Have you looked into the Transition Town model that is spreading through the UK? I note that in your book you do see some ways in which the American psyche is more prepared for aspects of communal lifestyles than Russians were. We see past examples of civil society upsurges in the US, from the Great Depression to the 60s, and it could be that there is a potential for some similar type of uprising in this situation. We also have the original model of the American Revolution as a prototype. Do you think the current population is too comatose to make a change?
Generally, I see that there is a structural problem on a global level, as capitalism has turned the world into a monoculture while resources are declining to the point where further growth is not possible. At that point, capitalism may have no choice but to collapse. I think it is possible that the technosphere of global capitalism is something like a cocoon, and the global communications system now created suggests a new formation could emerge, like a butterfly, from this disaster.
I am very interested in Buckminster Fuller, and his idea we could take a design science approach to recreating society - this is a very American pragmatic and optimistic way of looking at the potential ahead of us. I know that Communism was a terrible attempt to impose an ideological system on to reality. But do you see any validity in this design science perspective?
Also, have you looked into the thinking of Bernard Letaier (The Future of Money) on redesigning currency so the money system supports local and sustainable communities?
"Will the transformation."-Rilke
Daniel I definitely agree
Daniel I definitely agree with the Fuller philosophy and think it would do us all good to look into it! His whole perspective on life and reality is an amazing testament to what just one individual can come up with. . .
I do think that most people in America are theoretically ready for a sort of transitional culture, although realistically I see a lot of dis-empowerment in the mass culture with too many people not believing they can do anything of value, and so you have a situation where if not enough people are educated and empowered, they will likely turn into screaming cattle when the bottom falls out. . .if it ever does!
I have not read Lataier's book but it is something that seems an absolute neccesity! Local economies are going to be the BEST way we can survive in a post-global-economy setting, at least in my view. And so having local currencies and/or systems of commonly acceptable trade should most definitely take hold. It's a shame that this can't really be implemented now without the Feds coming down on us, just look at what happened to the Liberty Dollar company!
I think a healthy mixture of self-sufficiency(such as permaculture), social technologies for community empowerment(such as wisdom councils), and thriving local economies will be strong buffers to complete Mad Max-style chaos that I think many envision would ensue in a post-meltdown America. I think these things should bein place already as our reliance on technology has already put the mass-culture into "baby mode" in which we are as able to care for ourselves as a baby is. It's a horrible side effect of manipulative distraction, and banal perpetuation of the "news of the day" which both serve to disempower our population.
I also want to thank you and your team as you guys are bringing together the kind of people that hopefully will apply this stuff into the offline world. . .
Black Light in the Attic Podcast w/Serpicody & Sancho
http://blacklightattic.podomatic.com
Thanks Dmitry
Excellent article. I'll buy the book. Rather psychotic series of responses. I suppose the truth is rather frightening.
BULL
We can still be American
Thanks for the article man; it worked extremely well on this site seeing that it generated such a prolific and provocative discussion. I think it is well to make the point that all the problems that you are articulating stem from the American Government. We, as American individuals, have so little to say in American governmental foreign policy and especially in how the American military acts in its endeavors (I never heard anyone asking me, or anyone for that matter, if we should bomb or even try to send American military forces into Pakistan) that it seems we are a country of individuals supporting a rogue government...or maybe just a rogue regime...or tyrant. 'tis mad complicated and hard to define in written words for myself, being much more of a face to face speaker. hmm.
The American government, as you said, is responsible for all this jail stuff, bad war policy stuff, that being saying we win all these wars when in reality they are pretty much lies and catastrophes. What I think needs to come to light is that our government is out of control and has deviated so far from what America is supposed to be, what our Constitution said America should be, that it needs a shock from its people to bring it back around. The American People, by and large, are a good, innovative, and motivated people. Most are capable of living intelligently, and if they are not, I blame that on our government as well for fostering a culture that promotes materialism, debt, bigger is better, and good ol' ignorance. But those people could be brought around as well, and if not, they'd probably run away.
So what I have to say to those of you who are preparing and waiting for, as Devon says, "the shithouse to go up", do not wait for it. We do not need to wait for the shithouse (the American Government in my opinion) to go up in flames; we, as a motivated, responsible, and capable people, should bring the flames to it so we, the motivated, responsible, and capable people, can bring our wonderful, innovative country back to its roots of Stupendousness. Is anyone with me or am I just some crazy ridikulus revolutionary?